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The Wild Election Night Scenarios Where the Democrats Could Take the Senate-and Republicans Could Keep the House

Nov 06, 2018 - Slate Magazine

Election Day is upon us, and most of the major nonpartisan handicappers and number-crunching forecasters are predicting the same thing: Democrats will overcome a host of structural disadvantages to retake the House, while Republicans will hold onto the Senate, in no small part because of the quirks of the electoral calendar.

For the record, that's what I expect to happen as well. But that established consensus can obscure a reality that can't be ignored: The available evidence suggests tho...