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How regular forecasts can mask the threat of dangerous weather

Aug 05, 2019 - Washington Post Blogs

Meteorologists are taught that an accurate weather forecast conjures a vision of what Mother Nature is most likely to deliver. Except that's not always true. Sometimes forecasts have a different message.

In practice, there are two kinds of predictions that forecasters can make about the weather.

Most days, meteorologists and computers analyze the available data to produce forecasts that describe what they think the weather is most likely to be at some point in the future - "most like...